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The larger the investment in test equipment provided, the higher the probability the company will be awarded the contract. The anticipated net profit for this second contract is £307300(VAR11) if the per unit cost is £4.02(Same as TEXTVAR4), and £500,000(VAR13) if the per unit cost is £3.9(same as TEXTVAR3). These figures do not include the large investment in special test equipment which has to be written off over the life of the contract. The possible investment and resulting probabilities of winning the contract are as follows;
Investment in test equipment Probability of winning contract C2
£198600(VAR15) 0.2(TEXTVAR19)
£240800(VAR16) 0.39(TEXTVAR20)
£267300(VAR17) 0.5(TEXTVAR21)
£295300(VAR18) 0.6(TEXTVAR22)
谢谢!

解答:

规模较大的投资,在测试设备提供的,更高的概率,该公司将被授予合同。预计净利润为这第二份合约是£ 307300 ( var11 ) ,如果每单位成本是£ 4.02 (跟textvar4 ) ,并£ 500000 ( var13 ) ,如果每单位成本是£ 3.9 (同textvar3 ) 。这些数字不包括大投资,在特殊的测试设备,其中已被注销的整个生命的合同。可能出现的投资和由此产生的概率赢得合同内容如下;
投资测试设备的概率赢得合同的c2
英镑198600 ( var15 ) 0.2 ( textvar19 )
英镑240800 ( var16 ) 0.39 ( textvar20 )
英镑267300 ( var17 ) 0.5 ( textvar21 )
英镑295300 ( var18 ) 0.6 ( textvar22