A second government contract C2 is anticipated in the latter part of the year if the company is unsuccessful in obtaining C1. Because of the production limitations, it is not possible for the company to bid for contract C2 if it is awarded contract C1. To be in a position to bid for the contract C2, it is necessary to secure adequate financial backing now, to provide a guarantee that the company could provide certain expensive test equipment if it is awarded the contract.
The larger the investment in test equipment provided, the higher the probability the company will be awarded the contract. The anticipated net profit for this second contract is £307300(VAR11) if the per unit cost is £4.02(Same as TEXTVAR4), and £500,000(VAR13) if the per unit cost is £3.9(same as TEXTVAR3). These figures do not include the large investment in special test equipment which has to be written off over the life of the contract. The possible investment and resulting probabilities of winning the contract are as follows;
Investment in test equipment Probability of winning contract C2
£198600(VAR15) 0.2(TEXTVAR19)
£240800(VAR16) 0.39(TEXTVAR20)
£267300(VAR17) 0.5(TEXTVAR21)
£295300(VAR18) 0.6(TEXTVAR22)
Draw a decision tree for the problem and assuming maximum expected monetary value is the criterion to be used determine;
1. whether or not the company should give in to the union’s demands
2. what bid per unit should be chosen for contract C1, and
3. how much should be invested in test equipment for contract C2
What is the strategy and the expected monetary value of this strategy

第二，政府合同c2是预计在今年后期，如果该公司是不成功的，在获取的c1 。由于生产的局限性，它不可能为公司争取合同c2的，如果是批出合约的c1 。要在一个位置，以争取合同c2的，是要确保有足够的财力作后盾，以提供保证，即该公司可提供某些昂贵的测试设备，如果是批出合约。
规模较大的投资，在测试设备提供的，更高的概率，该公司将被授予合同。预计净利润为这第二份合约是£ 307300 （ var11 ） ，如果每单位成本是£ 4.02 （跟textvar4 ） ，并£ 500000 （ var13 ） ，如果每单位成本是￡ 3.9 （同textvar3 ） 。这些数字不包括大投资，在特殊的测试设备，其中已被注销的整个生命的合同。可能出现的投资和由此产生的概率赢得合同内容如下;
投资测试设备的概率赢得合同的c2
英镑198600 （ var15 ） 0.2 （ textvar19 ）
英镑240800 （ var16 ） 0.39 （ textvar20 ）
英镑267300 （ var17 ） 0.5 （ textvar21 ）
英镑295300 （ var18 ） 0.6 （ textvar22 ）
以此为决策树的问题，并假设最高预期货币价值的标准是被用来确定;
1 。不论该公司应在向工会提出的要求
2 。怎样申办每单位应选择合同的c1 ，
3 。多少应该投资在测试设备合同的c2
什么是策略与预期货币价值的这种策略